64 Comments
User's avatar
Publicus's avatar

Edward Tufte has built a career around the visual presentation of data, and especially quantitative data. This chart is pretty but…

What are the colors representing specifically? This looks like a constant, linear change in time. Wouldn’t these outcomes change more in a log scale which is worse as the spread accelerates?

We also must humanize what’s been willfully done. Today I pray for Ken. He “unexpectedly” died of a turbo cancer. We were friends for over fifty years.I drank some of my first beers with Ken. He’s one of 90 I now know who died, are dying, or were harmed (family, friends and colleagues). Let light perpetual shine upon Ken and those he left behind. All were/are lovely productive and sharp people.

God help us.

Mouzer's avatar

It helps to expand the chart in your browser. The colored bars are labelled with a number, which is the variant. Because the chart is in days, each day shows 100% of the tested material. As each new variant appears, it quickly takes over the bulk of the material compared to the early days, which the chart make possible to compare to adjacent days, with all the days combining to form a visual trend. I used to be a consultant including reporting on performance. This is an excellent chart for it incorporates all the information needed to display what the author wants, even including confidence of the data. Many of Tufte's charts required the viewer to consider it closely. Some data can't be easily displayed like a thermometer with data just going up.

Publicus's avatar

Thank you. I’ll take a look from my browser.

Mouzer's avatar

I am sorry to hear you know of so many who were harmed or died. I know a few who were. I would hope that those making efforts to find a treatment to mitigate the shots and spike are successful.

la chevalerie vit's avatar

Distinct variants. Each new variant, unique genomic sequence, starts small and grows by some amount before diminishing as newer variants take their place. The Y-axis is percentage, so the colors for a given month represent the variants that were observed in samples that month, by percent, always totaling 100%. The main point is that new ones dominate more quickly (the dashed downward-sloping lines getting steeper.) That's my read of it.

Jayna Dinnyes's avatar

Publicus, SO VERY SAD for your and their loss! 😥 For the first time today I heard on CNN questioning about the safety of Dr. Mengelefauci's Ouchies a.k.a. quackcines (whackcines?), inoCULLations, and VacSINSes! 😲 Mostly up until now it's been "word of mouth" from us non-jabbed survivors. The TRUTH about the poisons may never be publicly acknowledged just "swept under the rug". Methinks, though, THE EVIL THEY won't give up on killing US! 😡 I post the truth publicly on MeWe.

Marie blaszak's avatar

An old man I know my friend also... During covid I went to his house every Sunday to keep him Company, wash his dishes and clean his cat litter. Every single time I lectured him and told him how dangerous the shots were. He said he wasn't gonna get it cuz he got real sick with a flu shot a few years before. One day he called me and told me he got the shot! He said his doctor talked him into it. I stopped seeing him then cuz I was afraid of shedding. One day I bumped into him at the store...small town we live in. He told me he got the second shot. I later bumped into him at the store again and he said he got a mild stroke. I told him it was from the shot. I think he half believed me. I rarely visited him. Two years after the second shot he had a sore throat for 2 months. Got tested and found out he had throat cancer. He got radiation treatment only for two weeks. He got worse. I was feeding his 3 cats every day. He asked me to take them if he got real sick. Well, he did. He's dying in the hospital now. The radiation made his throat swell up so bad that he couldn't even swallow water!! I tried texting him, but his son blocked me. Probably because way earlier I told him the covid shots give turbo cancer. Son must have read my texts. I have his 3 cats now. I'm gonna really miss him. I used to bump into him at the store a lot. He used to sit on the bench in town. When he was younger he was a race car driver. I won't know when he dies cuz his son won't talk to me. He was a race car driver when he was younger. He's 81. His name is Roy.

Marie blaszak's avatar

I don't know how I lost the rest of it. My dog put her paw on the phone. He's in the hospital. I don't know any more cuz the son blocked me probably cuz he must have read my earlier texts telling his dad the covid shots are bad. He only had radiation for two weeks and his the swelled up and he couldn't even swallow water. He had asked me to take his three cats if anything happened to him. He disappeared one day. I have his cats now. I will miss him. He used to sit on the bench in town. He loves his cats. I used to bump into him in town. It's a small rural town. He was a race car driver when younger. He's 81. His name is Roy.

Marie blaszak's avatar

I forgot to say that he never smoked even ONE cigarette his whole life! And the last time he drank was 30 years ago.

Publicus's avatar

May God bless you for trying to take care of Roy and his cats. We cannot let these evil bastards kill our humanity towards one another.

svartberg's avatar

Intresting observasion. Every new version escape and become dominant..

Mary Byrne's avatar

And its becoming dominant faster each time

Thomas's avatar

XFG -from the many connections I have, I can report that this variant, XFG, is kicking the vaxxed's butts. They feel AWFUL with this variant. Severe sore throat, tremendous post-nasal drip, in bed for days.... This nasty XFG is ruining a lot of immune systems out there, and making the vaccinated feel serious PAIN for their trust in government and CNN.

****If you want a "back-of-my-business-card" summary of all things GVB, it would be this:

***********************************************************************************************

COVID LIE: The vaccine will change the immune system to eliminate the virus.

COVID TRUTH: The virus will change the immune system to eliminate the vaccinated.

***********************************************************************************************

GVB has been right all along: It's all EXACTLY wrong!

CommonNonSense's avatar

Younger lady at work this past week said she had COVID for the 4th time and remarked in our team meeting that she thought she would be immune by now. I as one of three on the team of about 20 who is unvaxxed just sat quietly while the rest of the team remarked. Such lies they foisted on the nation. There is no immunity and immune systems are forever altered.

Hannah's avatar

I know someone un-jabbed who tested positive for Covid twice between 2020-2022, then contracted possibly Kraken or Echo and developed severe complications from what seemed like just a very, very bad cold. Still has circulatory and reperfusion issues and all of the post-exertion symptom exacerbation which develops from an acquired impairment of the dynamics of bodily fluids via immune response-damaged collagen and soft tissue/vascular structures. I don’t know if we can assume that future variants are less harmful.

Truth and Justice's avatar

Here is another very good reason why they ended up with serious health problems despite being unvaccinated. Lots of people think that covid is nothing but a flu when in fact it isn't true. Covid is worse. And the reason is worse is because it has been modified in a lab to be worse than the regular Sars Covid viruses. How many people do you know that follow early covid treatment protocol by the book? I don't know anybody. Now add to that, the health problems and the age of the person, and you have the perfect recipe for disaster. The key to avoid problems after a covid infection is in the early treatment covid protocol. With that being said, I must admit that I only know one person who ended up with long covid without being vaccinated. When I inquired how did that happen here is what I found out: that person already had health issues and once she got sick, she took only Tylenol and Advil. Are you kidding me? And you expect to recover well, just because you didn't take the shots? Although many people, ( depending on their age and health) do recover without any serious problems, or no problems at all, it is not the case for everyone.

Jayna Dinnyes's avatar

I have been taking Swanson Vitamins' NAC (Cysteine, an amino acid) 600 mg capsules since 2009. Since then I have not had any shots, flu, or Coronavirus' including Covids although exposed. My hubby did not either. At the time, a leaked doctor's email said that it would prevent H1N1 flu. (Later, that doctor took back that advice!) It's about $10.00 a bottle and they have added 1000 mg. capsules. Child:1/Day Adult: 2/Day I take one after a meal, one before sleep. 1000 mg.? I take only one of these daily before sleep. All the jabbed should take this, too! It's healthy for the entire body, not a drug, and cheap! 😲 For sharing this info on Facebook for several years I was kicked off of there in mid 2021 and won't be back! I now post the truth publicly on MeWe. 🙏

Mouzer's avatar

I got long covid and was not vaxed. What many people don't know is post viral syndrome (also by similar names) has been known by the medical profession for a long time. IMO it's called long covid because that is part of terrifying people and fear porn about covid. Seems the "cold" and flu have disappeared and it's all covid, covid, covid. There are treatments after getting it, however.

Mouzer's avatar

True, but we don't know also the health of that person's immune system.

Hannah's avatar

True; but it’s like asking “how long is a piece of string?”. Maybe some people are more susceptible to damage. All I know is it was a completely Un-V and active young person with no longterm conditions… until that struck.

Ed Sweeney's avatar

These later variants are learning new tricks to stymie the innate immune response in the healthy unvaxxed so it's challenging the humoral response and that can lead to long covid if the virus replicates long enough and attacks the CNS or endocrine system. Low energy also if it attacks the mitochondria. All of that can happen with a "mild" infection that seems like a light flu with muscle aches.

Hannah's avatar

Definitely what the ME/CFS (and later LC or post infection syndrome) research has shown.

Mouzer's avatar

How awful. I see more and more young people in the oncology waiting room. It used to be mostly women closer to senior age, now I see men more often as well.

Ed Sweeney's avatar

I know someone unjabbed who has had three infections since Delta in late 2021. All bad flu like illness. The first became a secondary bacterial infection treated with antibiotics. The third this past spring was an ugly cold he hacked on for 2 weeks with the tell-tale hoarse throat. The variants nowadays are strong in terms of transmission and infectivity. for everybody.

Truth and Justice's avatar

Chart Overview

Here is Part 2 of the chart analysis. The main conclusion is this: the XFG is the one to watch for immune escape, transmissibility, or severity signals for the fall of 2025.

Title: Empiric Proportions and Nowcast Estimates in United States for 4-Week Periods, 9/1/2024 – 8/30/2025

Type: Stacked bar chart with time running left → right.

Content: Share of sequenced COVID-19 cases in the U.S., by variant lineage.

Two parts:

Left: Historical, empiric data (actual sequencing).

Right: Modeled “Nowcast” projections (near-future forecast).

🧬 Variants Displayed

1. KP.3.11 (teal)

Early role: Present around fall 2024, but never dominant.

Trend: Gradual decline through winter.

By spring 2025: Almost vanishes, displaced by newer sublineages.

Takeaway: A short-lived Omicron offshoot, quickly outcompeted.

2. XEC (green)

Role: Maintains a small but steady slice through fall/winter 2024.

Trajectory: Slowly declines into 2025, edged out by LP.8.1 and XFG.

Takeaway: Competed for a while but never gained much traction.

3. LP.8.1 (orange)

The big one: Begins climbing sharply in early 2025.

Dominance: By spring/summer 2025, becomes the leading strain in the U.S.

Late 2025: Model shows decline, giving way to XFG.

Takeaway: This lineage defines mid-2025, much like XBB did in 2023.

4. NB.1.1 (purple)

Minor lineage: Visible as a modest wedge early in 2025.

Trajectory: Holds steady briefly, then fades by mid-2025.

Takeaway: A small competitor that never expanded widely.

5. XFG (blue)

Late climber: Starts small but rises in spring/summer 2025.

By Aug 2025: Forecast shows XFG overtaking LP.8.1 as the next dominant variant.

Takeaway: Positioned to become the fall 2025 driver.

📈 Timeline Highlights

Fall 2024: KP.3.11 and XEC share the space, no clear giant yet.

Winter 2024–25: Shift begins — LP.8.1 emerges.

Spring 2025: LP.8.1 rapidly expands, overtakes others.

Summer 2025: LP.8.1 peaks but then starts dropping.

Late Aug 2025: XFG surges, model predicts it will dominate into the fall.

🔮 About the “Nowcast” Projection

Based on CDC modeling methods: blends recent sequencing data with statistical forecasting.

Useful for short-term planning (1–2 months), but subject to revisions as real-world data comes in.

Shows uncertainty shading (sometimes not visible in cropped charts), meaning predictions aren’t exact.

🌍 Public Health Relevance

LP.8.1: Defined the middle part of 2025. Public health measures, vaccine updates, and treatments were likely tuned to it.

XFG: Forecast to rise — this would be the lineage to watch for immune escape, transmissibility, or severity signals going into fall 2025.

Others (KP.3.11, XEC, NB.1.1): Example of how most new names fade quickly, only a few succeed.

✅ That’s the full breakdown of every lineage and the overall trend in your chart.

Mouzer's avatar

Midwesterndoctor.com reports that, according to the adverse events data base, after a few weeks the most commonly reported cause of death following a covid-19 vaccination was covid-19. In this interesting article, the doctor goes on to discuss why vaccines cause the illness they are supposed to prevent.

This article suggests to me the hyper-vaxed may create their own illness and death by potentiating one of the variants in their own bodies with another vaccination, even as the variant appears to conventional medicine to have become weaker.

Jayna Dinnyes's avatar

IMPO (In My Prayerful Opinion!) the KEY to survival in this now, "Silent Twilight Zone Apocalypse" is to STAY WELL NATURALLY! 😯 This involves just saying "NO!" when asked to take Dr. Mengelefauci's Ouchies, flu shots, and drugs with bad side effects! A helpful site; EarthClinic.com.

I post the truth publicly on MeWe. ETERNAL LIFE BLESSINGS FOR YAHWEH'S SAINTS! 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦

Truth and Justice's avatar

Here is a pretty good interpretation of the chart. This is part 1.

General Interpretation

The stacked bar design shows each variant’s share of sequenced COVID-19 cases over successive four-week intervals.

The model-based projected estimates on the right presumably forecast near-term variant distribution.

LP.8.1 (the orange segment) climbs noticeably from early 2025, becomes the dominant variant by mid-year, then starts to trend down toward August 2025.

XFG (blue) grows substantially later in the chart, suggesting it’s rising in prevalence as LP.8.1 wanes.

Other lineages like XEC (green), NB.1.1 (purple), and KP.3.11 (teal) vary but remain smaller in overall share.

KoPA's avatar

Absolute scam. This fuck should t be on this app

James Beck's avatar

Fuck off paywall prick.

Louise Bet Leary's avatar

SARS-CoV-2 had no variants.

It did not and cannot morph into a new strain while in the middle of a herd (Homo sapien) outbreak.

Geert has failed to explain how his whole theory hinges on such a phenomenon.

Coronavirus is not Influenza

The ‘variants of concern’ is the lie we are being told by ‘Govt World Health’ and we can prove they are lying about it.

Andrew's avatar

Covid will be with us forever until the truth finally stops it.

Louise Bet Leary's avatar

SARS-CoV-2 will be on earth forever, virus cannot be eradicated. Geert doesn’t realize it reached the herd immunity threshold in May 2021 which ended the outbreak. Threshold gets tapped and the spillover is complete. Its gone. It can’t come back. A virus can only moves forward.

Thomas's avatar

Sure, right. COVID is all too alive and well, Louise. The vaccinated sure are getting sicker and sicker. They're the only ones who get COVID anymore. The immune pressure on the virus caused by the COVID shots has empowered the virus to decimate the vaxxeds' immune systems.

80% of people are now relying ONLY on innate immunity with cytokines to resist COVID. Adaptive immunity is long gone (ADE, and OAS/imprinting). Once a variant figures out this last leg of the barstool, (cytokines), the vaccinated will have no immune system left to speak of, and will fall hard and be killed in an unexpected wave of mass death. Sorry.

I re-iterate my GVB summary:

*********************************************************************************

COVID LIE: The vaccine will change the immune system to eliminate the virus.

COVID TRUTH: The virus will change the immune system to eliminate the vaccinated.

************************************************************************************

GVB has been correct all along. It's all EXACTLY wrong!

Louise Bet Leary's avatar

No, GVB has not been right all along, at all.

Human beings do not make coronavirus variants.

That’s what GVB is telling you.

And he claims that ‘only certain’ human beings make coronavirus variants. Where the logic in that?

A coronavirus, especially a +ssRNA like SARS-CoV-2 does not mutate and form into a new strain inside a human cell. It only does that by hibernating in its host reserve. And it takes at least 6 years for a new coronavirus variant to mutate into a new strain that is strong enough to break out and circle through all life’s herds again.

This is a coronavirus, it is not influenza. Coronavirus is a cold. Colds come and go in a season. GVB is confused.

Thomas's avatar

You put pressure on ANYTHING, Louise, and it will change. Coronavirus is a gain-of-function virus created in a lab in Wuhan. That is pretty much acknowledged.

Whether GVB believes that or not, it doesn't matter. Why are the vaccinated getting sicker and sicker, Louise? Why do the unvaccinated often get COVID once, and then never again? The Cleveland Clinic data, the Walgreens shot data, the New Zealand whistleblower record-level data, to name a few, ALL contradict you. You are pontificating without providing any data. LOL.

I am awaiting your publications on your musings. Let's just say I'm not holding my breath : )

As for your influenza comment, you are NOT well-read at all. Sure, it mutates. And causes more influenza in the vaccinated!

*********************************************************************

https://publichealthpolicyjournal.com/new-study-flu-vaccination-linked-to-27-increased-risk-of-flu/

This study analyzed over 53,000 Cleveland Clinic employees and found that those who received the influenza vaccine during the 2024–2025 season were statistically more likely to contract influenza compared to those who remained unvaccinated. After adjusting for key factors like age, sex, job role, and location, the data showed a 27% higher risk of influenza among the vaccinated group (Hazard Ratio = 1.27). This led to a negative vaccine effectiveness estimate of −26.9%.

********************************************************

Louise Bet Leary's avatar

Yes it’s a man made (lab) virus.

The unvaccinated get the infection once and never again - because that’s exactly how herd immunity works. That is my argument.

Who is contradicting my argument? You sound confused.

And the vaccinated are getting sick because the mRNA vaccine has caused their immune system to dysfunction.

The immune system is processing the antigen as a self antigen via the endogenous pathway, instead of it being processed as a non-self (foreign) antigen via the exogenous pathway. It overrides and silences the CD4+ adaptive pathway.

Without CD4 T lymphocytes - you’re going to get sick. Often. Among a plethora of other disorders your immune system can’t keep cancers or other viruses in check without T helper cells.

CommonNonSense's avatar

Prophylaxis: Every morning and night.....dilute povidone iodine nose wash or qtip hydrogen peroxide, gargle with cetyl pyridium mouthwash or saltwater, and for good measure clean ears out with qtip hydrogen peroxide not being an idiot to shove earwax in. Stop picking your nose don't rub your eyes.

Marie blaszak's avatar

True. I bought the nasal spray from dollar tree and I add a couple drops of iodine to it. Haven't used it yet. Glad you reminded me!

Ed Sweeney's avatar

Looks pretty much the same as all the other Nowcast graphics I've seen the past three years - a constant stream of replacement variants. Your amended hypothesis now centers on a "stochastic" mutagenic shift happening at some point but like earthquake prediction. That means those Nowcast graphics have little bearing on conditions leading to such a random event. Your event could in theory take place just as well during a low ebb of transmission and variant changeover. In fact such a period can signal strong non-selective pressure on the pathogen that could pump out a Hi-Vi-Cron from a chronic infection. It's not about the variant clade anymore but about whether or not transmission continues, ebbs, then picks up again. The pandemic is not over.

Preppy Squirrel's avatar

So new classes are becoming dominant in less time. What does this mean with regard to the virulence vs infectious parts of the equation?

It seems that if we move through more separate classes there is some acceration of risk, however it also seems like the dominant to non dominant new variant ratio would still be a factor.

Any changes being seen in how many total new variants? Any indications of why the competition between classes/ variants ratios have changed, and if so does anything point to virulence specifically?

Mouzer's avatar

This comment is posted 6 times. Maybe you could delete some and check your browser or how you connect here.

I would think that the new variant becomes dominant because it is caught more easily. Whether that is from being more virulent or because the highly vaxed are more susceptible or a combination, but it would not be addressed by the chart.

Preppy Squirrel's avatar

So new classes are becoming dominant in less time. What does this mean with regard to the virulence vs infectious parts of the equation?

It seems that if we move through more separate classes there is some acceration of risk, however it also seems like the dominant to non dominant new variant ratio would still be a factor.

Any changes being seen in how many total new variants. Any indications of why the competition between classes/ variants ratios have changed, and if so does anything point to virulence specifically?

Preppy Squirrel's avatar

So new classes are becoming dominant in less time. What does this mean with regard to the virulence vs infectious parts of the equation?

It seems that if we move through more separate classes there is some acceration of risk, however it also seems like the dominant to non dominant new variant ratio would still be a factor.

Any changes being seen in how many total new variants. Any indications of why the competition between classes/ variants ratios have changed, and if so does anything point to virulence specifically?